Blacksburg, VA — The Virginia Tech Hokies are coming off three straight disappointing offensive performances, which resulted in back-to-back losses to Georgia Tech and North Carolina and an underwhelming 16-3 win over East Carolina.
No longer in the national championship picture and all but eliminated from a shot at an ACC title, the Hokies have three regular season games remaining, beginning with Maryland on Saturday.
The Terps (2-3, 2-7) are in the midst of a disappointing season and are guaranteed a losing a record; their fourth in the last six seasons. But don’t think for a minute that the Terps can’t pull off an upset and beat the Hokies on Saturday.
Sure, Maryland has only one win against Division I-A (FBS) competition; a 24-21 win over Clemson, which is poised to win the ACC’s Atlantic Division. But consider two things: 1) The Hokies are a run-first team and 2) Maryland has proven they can stop the run.
It doesn’t take a college football guru to figure out that the Terps are going to put eight guys in the box and try to stop the Hokies primary weapon, Ryan Williams. Maryland knows as well as anyone else that Tech’s passing game is suspect at best, so rather than letting Williams run wild on them (which he may very well do despite eight Terps in the box), they’ll force the Hokies to beat them with the passing game.
Through nine games, Maryland has held the opposing team’s leading rusher to less than 100 yards six times. In fact, the Terps haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in its last five games. However, they did give up an average of 283 passing yards in those six games, so even if they can stop the run, a half-way decent passing game can beat them.
Virginia Tech’s passing game will likely be the wild card in this game, much like it was for the Hokies when the played Duke. The Blue Devils threw everything at the Hokies to stop Ryan Williams and the run, but Tyrod Taylor torched Duke’s secondary for 327 yards passing in a close-than-expected 34-26 win.
The Hokies were not as successful in the passing game during back-to-back losses to Georgia Tech and Duke and the offense only managed one touchdown in a 16-3 win on the road against East Carolina.
Even when teams have tried to stop Ryan Williams, he has found a way to run through them or over them. Though he didn’t reach the end zone against ECU, Williams rushed for a career-high 179 yards and broke 16 tackles, the most by any running back at Virginia Tech since running backs coach Billy Hite arrived 32 years ago.
Here’s how Maryland’s defense compares nationally and in the ACC:
Total Defense
- 11th in the ACC (434.9 ypg)
- 84th in the country
Pass Defense
- Last in the ACC (249.4 ypg)
- 100th in the country
Rush Defense
- 8th in the ACC (141.1 ypg)
- 63rd in the country
Here’s how Ryan Williams has fared against opposing defenses in 2009:
Alabama (L) – No. 2 rushing defense
71 yards, 2 TDs
Marshall (W)- No. 83 rushing defense
164 yards, 3 TDs
Nebraska – No. 10 rushing defense
107 yards, 1 TD
Miami – No. 45 rushing defense
150 yards, 2 TDs
Duke – No. 62 rushing defense
87 yards, 0 TDs
Boston College – No. 30 rushing defense
159 yards, 1 TD
Georgia Tech – No. 49 rushing defense
100 yards, 1 TD
North Carolina – No. 8 rushing defense
96 yards, 0 TDs
East Carolina – No. 45 rushing defense
179 yards, 0 TDs
The Terrapins rushing defense is the second worst Williams will face so far this season, behind Marshall. If Tech’s offensive line can control the line of scrimmage long enough for Williams to hit his gaps, it could be another record-setting day for a Hokie running back.
Maryland knows all to well the devastation a Hokie tailback can do. Last year, Darren Evans rushed for a single-game school record 253 yards in a 23-13 win.
Kickoff is schedule for 1 p.m. and the game will be televised on the Internet via ESPN360.com. The last Terps win against the Hokies came in the 1990 season, a 20-13 win at College Park.
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